AAVE/USDT is pinned beneath clustered resistances marked by labeled DEMAs at 307.96 on 2H, 310.93 on 4H, and 312.76 on 1D, while spot hovers around the 306 handle on the provided charts. Momentum remains soft across intraday frames, with sub‑zero MACD histograms and MACD below Signal on 2H/4H/6H, and RSI readings below 50 and beneath their moving averages on the same frames, reinforcing a downside tilt around these caps. The 12H panel shows MACD improvement with a positive histogram and MACD above Signal, but RSI, Stoch RSI, and CMF are not yet supportive, limiting the quality of any rally attempts into the 314.16–317.58 band. On the Weekly, RSI sits above 50 and +DI exceeds -DI with a modestly positive CMF, yet local price remains governed by the nearer intraday and Daily resistances that have not been reclaimed on the labeled charts.2025-09-15-aave.pdf
Compared with yesterday’s plan to fade 312.76–314.31, today’s labels still place price below those levels, suggesting the approach has remained appropriate without a confirmed reclaim of the band. That outcome is modestly successful insofar as the rejection area has not been broken and the tape continues to trade underneath the nearest overhead DEMA cluster visible on the multi‑timeframe snapshots. The presence of a Daily DEMA(210) at 305.40 just beneath spot creates a tight nearby support, but repeated failures at 307.96–312.76 validate a sell‑the‑rally stance until labels change meaningfully. The interplay of a firm weekly backdrop with weak intraday momentum argues for choppy downside rather than a decisive breakdown absent new evidence on the indicators.2025-09-15-aave.pdf
Into the next 24 hours, expect a 300–314 range with rallies likely to stall first at 307.96–310.93, while a decisive loss of 305.40 would refocus price toward the psychological 300 area visible on the grid lines in the panels. Over 48 hours, if 300 continues to hold and Daily momentum stabilizes, a sideways 306–312 drift is the base case; a clean break of 300 would open a 295–300 check before any higher‑quality bounce emerges. Strategy bias remains to fade bounces into 311–314 with risk managed above the labeled 1D DEMA(70) at 319.47, while any counter‑trend longs near 305–300 demand discipline given persistent overhead pressure.
Indicators graph +-1 bullish bearish , +-0.5 weak exhausted bullish bearish , bar extending -0.5 to +0.5 neutral ( no direction)

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