BTCUSDT: Bulls Try to Regain Control – Will $108K Hold? (July 2, 2025 Analysis)

The Macro View: Recovery, But Not Full Bull Yet

Zooming out, the recent price action feels like a classic battle for control. BTCUSDT just ripped off recent lows near $106,400–$106,600 and pushed quickly past $107,000, but momentum is still a bit shaky. Bulls are back in the ring, but the uptrend isn’t a done deal yet.

What The Indicators Say

MACD:

• 1H/2H: Flipped bullish. The histogram is ticking up, signaling that buyers are back after the dump.

• 4H: Still slightly negative, but the selling pressure is fading. A bullish cross could form soon if the move continues.

• 12H/1D: These frames show the most promise—MACD lines are trying to cross up, which often precedes a stronger bounce.

• 1W: Weekly MACD remains positive, but the momentum that fueled this year’s rally is definitely cooling off.

  

  Refer a friend

RSI:

• 1H–2H: Solid bounce off oversold into the 55–62 range. There’s fuel left in the tank.

• 4H: RSI is climbing, adding confidence to the near-term rally.

• 12H–1D: Above 50 and holding—this is crucial for the longer-term bulls.

• 1W: Weekly RSI at 61 tells us the longer trend is still healthy, though not euphoric.

DMI/ADX:

• ADX is weak on all timeframes (trendless chop), but on the 2H/4H, the bulls are finally nosing ahead. This is typical before breakouts or sharp squeezes.

• On daily/weekly, the indecision continues—direction is up for grabs.

Stochastics:

• Short-term frames show a fresh push from oversold, and mid/long-term stochastics aren’t overbought yet, which leaves the door open for higher moves.

Key Levels: Support & Resistance

• Support:

  • $106,400–$106,600: Bulls must defend this zone to keep upside momentum alive.

  • $105,600: Next big floor if things get ugly.

• Resistance:

  • $107,200–$107,400: First hurdle, expect volatility here.

  • $108,200–$108,300: Strong multi-timeframe resistance; a break here could unleash another rally.

  • $108,900–$109,000+: Major ceiling for the week. If this falls, bears could get steamrolled.

Price Scenarios: The Next 2–4 Days

• Short-Term (Next 2 Days, by July 4):

  If $106,400–$106,600 holds, expect BTC to test $107,200–$108,200. A clean break above could attract momentum traders.

• Mid-Term (Next 4 Days, by July 6):

  If $108,200 cracks, a run to $109,000 isn’t out of the question. On the flip side, failure at resistance or a break of $106,400 puts $105,600–$105,000 back in play.

Conclusion: Bulls Have The Ball, But Bears Aren’t Gone

BTC is trying to reclaim the initiative, and the short-term indicators back that up. Above $106,600? Bullish bias. Below $106,400? Back to defensive. The next couple of days will reveal if this is a real reversal or just a relief rally.

Are you positioning for the upside, or do you think this rally will fizzle? Drop your thoughts, charts, or trades in the comments—let’s hash it out together!

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