Ethereum's fundamental strength remains Moderate with a Composite Fundamental Score (CFS) of 6.66/10, declining only 2.1% week-over-week despite a sharp 17.2% price drop. The network demonstrates resilience through exceptional development activity and strong tokenomics, while facing near-term headwinds from deteriorating sentiment, regulatory delays, and diminished adoption metrics. Whale accumulation of $1.12 billion in ETH signals institutional confidence, though persistent ETF outflows and exchange inflows reflect broader market caution.
The base case 7-day forecast predicts further decline to $2,880 (-12.6%) by November 12, 2025, with medium confidence (65%). Key catalysts include the SEC decision on ETH staking ETFs (November 13) and potential sentiment reversal if whale accumulation continues.