Crypto Brief: Compression Beneath Resistance, Dips Preferred While Trend Holds

Our read : AAVE steady near 300; BTC coiling under 118.8k; ETH compressing below 4.27k; SOL basing under 182— buy-the-dip bias while DEMA support holds.

We see a broadly constructive market with fast-frame momentum cooling into overhead supply while slow frames support continuation. AAVE’s structure improved after reclaiming intraday averages; our floor is 295–296 with 305–312 next and a 320–325 stretch if flows stay positive. Bitcoin is compressing below 118.5k–118.8k; so long as 116.7k holds on closes, we favor a choppy push toward 119.8k–120.3k and potentially 121.0k–121.5k. Ethereum sits just under 4.27k after a strong impulse; we’re buying weakness into 4,185–4,200 and 4,145–4,165 while 4,133 and 3,938 (12h DEMA70) hold, aiming for 4,320–4,350 then 4,420–4,500. Solana’s base is building above its DEMA stack; we’re bidding 179–180, 177.5–178.2, and 176.0–176.7 with eyes on 186–188 then 195–200 if 173–174 stays intact. Across all four, CMF is neutral-to-positive and DMI shows +DI leadership, consistent with digestion rather than distribution. Our playbook is staged entries on weakness, avoiding chase behavior into nearby lids; invalidation comes from daily closes back below the key DEMA bands (BTC <115.9k, ETH <4.08k, SOL <173–174, AAVE <295). Until those break, we favor eventual upside resolution as compression unwinds.

#CryptoMarket #Bitcoin #Ethereum #Solana #AAVE #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #CryptoTrading #DEMA #MarketUpdate

📜 Disclaimer:

Educational content only—non-financial advice. I am not a licensed advisor. Views are personal and may involve positions in mentioned assets. Crypto is volatile; do your own research and consult qualified professionals. Information may be inaccurate or change without notice. Not tailored to your jurisdiction or region; no guarantees whatsoever provided.

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AAVE: Follow-Through Above Mid-Range, Momentum Builds While Pullbacks Stay Buyable

Today AAVE is holding near the psychological 300 area after reclaiming its short-term moving averages across intraday time frames. The backdrop is constructive: momentum oscillators on 4h–12h continue to lean bullish, capital flows remain net positive, and trend gauges are stabilizing after an early burst. Dips into the 295–296 cluster have attracted buyers repeatedly, keeping price above the daily EMA band and confirming a shift from repair to advance. Short-term oscillators are warm to overbought, but in a trend this often marks persistence rather than imminent reversal.

Yesterday we observed the first clean bullish turn on the daily MACD with RSI pushing back above midline. Price pressed through the local supply zone around 295 and began probing 300–305. We framed 295–296 as the pivotal support and looked for 305–310 as the next logical magnet. That roadmap has largely played out: the market respected the outlined support, tagged the lower target zone, and is now attempting to consolidate gains without handing back the breakout. The call was directionally right, though the speed of the move required active management; intraday oscillators did cycle into overbought faster than expected, which tempered follow-through above 306 on the first attempt.

From here, our read remains moderately bullish with a respect for mean reversion risk. As long as AAVE defends 295–296 on closing bases, the path of least resistance favors incremental higher highs toward 305–312, with a stretch objective into 320–325 if flows stay positive and broader risk sentiment cooperates. Failure to hold that pivot would open a quick slide into 290–292 and, if momentum deteriorates, a deeper check of 286. Tactically, we prefer buying staged pullbacks into support rather than chasing strength at local highs, keeping stops tight beneath the reclaimed trend zone. If buyers can convert 305–306 from resistance into support, the tape likely enters a grind-higher phase characterized by shallow dips and momentum resets above the range midpoint.

#AAVE #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #Altcoins #DeFi

Bitcoin: Our Team Read—Compression Beneath 118.8k, Setup Favors Upside Continuation

Today we see Bitcoin coiling just under 118.5k–118.8k after reclaiming the intraday EMA stack and stabilizing above the 117.2k–116.7k shelf. On our faster frames the oscillators are warm but orderly—MACD stays positive, RSI holds above the midline, and DMI shows +DI leading with a steady ADX—while 2h flows are near flat and 4h–6h CMF remain constructive. On the slower frames we read momentum as supportive of continuation: the 12h delivered a clean bullish cross with RSI back through 50, and the daily trend continues to ride the EMA band higher.

Yesterday we mapped a simple plan: reclaim the EMAs, test 118.5k–118.8k, and prove 117.2k–116.7k as a working floor. Price followed that path, pressing into the lower edge of resistance while buyers repeatedly absorbed dips into the new shelf. We’ll call that directionally right but not perfect—the fast oscillators heated up sooner than we preferred, which capped extension through 118.8k on the first attempt. Still, the tape reads like healthy compression beneath supply rather than distribution.

Our conclusion is that the path of least resistance remains higher while the 116.7k pivot holds on closing bases. We expect a choppy advance that alternates between shallow pullbacks toward 117.2k and pushes into 118.8k–119.5k. A decisive break and hold above 118.8k should unlock 119.8k–120.3k, with a 24–48 hour stretch objective at 121.0k–121.5k if flows stay positive. If 116.7k gives way, we plan to look for responses in the 116.1k–115.9k zone; only a daily close below that region would materially dent our bullish thesis. Tactically, our preference is to accumulate on weakness rather than chase strength into nearby supply, keeping risk tight beneath the reclaimed band and letting momentum carry the move once resistance flips to support.

In short, we see a market catching its breath beneath a well-defined lid, backed by improving mid-timeframe momentum and stable higher-timeframe structure. The burden remains on sellers to force a daily close back under the pivot; absent that, we favor an eventual break higher.

#Bitcoin #BTC #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoTrading #PriceAction #MarketUpdate

ETH: Compression Under 4.27k, Dips Favored While DE MAs Support

We see Ethereum consolidating just below 4.24k–4.27k after a strong impulse that lifted price above the intraday DEMA stack (70/140/210/300). On fast frames (2h–6h) momentum is warm but controlled: MACD has eased, RSI backed off from highs, and SRSI cycled down on 2h while remaining elevated on 6h. DMI keeps +DI ahead with respectable ADX, and CMF leans positive, which to us reads like compression beneath supply, not distribution. On slower frames (12h/1D/1W) the bull case is intact. The 12h printed a clean bullish cross with RSI >50 and CMF positive; the daily rides above DEMA70 (~3,918) with DMI showing a healthy trend; the weekly stack (70/140/210/420) slopes upward as RSI holds near 70, consistent with an established advance.

Yesterday our plan was to treat 4,133 (2h DEMA70) as the first buy zone, expect a test of 4.24k–4.27k, and reassess momentum there. Price followed that path, tagging resistance and then slipping into a tidy sideways drift while buyers defended the reclaimed averages. We’ll call that directionally right but early on extension—fast oscillators heated faster than ideal, which capped immediate progress through 4.27k. Still, we don’t see topping characteristics: flows remain constructive and pullbacks are shallow.

Our base case is a choppy grind higher while 4,133 and 3,938 (12h DEMA70) hold on closing bases. We plan to add on weakness into 4,185–4,200 and 4,145–4,165, reserving an opportunistic bid near 4,105–4,135 if liquidity sweeps occur. A decisive break and hold above 4,270 should unlock 4,320–4,350, with a 24–48 hour stretch objective at 4,420–4,500 if CMF stays positive. If 4,133 gives way, we’ll look for responses at 4,080–4,100; only a daily close below that band would materially dent our bullish thesis. Until then, we prefer buying dips over chasing strength into resistance and letting momentum carry the move once 4.27k flips to support.

#Ethereum #ETH #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #MarketUpdate

SOL: Building a Base Below 182, Dips Favored While DEMA Support Holds

Today we see Solana consolidating around 180 after a steady climb that carried price back above the intraday DEMA ladder (70/140/210/300). On the fast frames, momentum has cooled without breaking structure: the 2h shows a minor MACD fade with RSI slipping toward neutral and CMF slightly negative, while the 4h–6h still carry positive flows with DMI constructive and SRSI elevated. That combination reads like controlled digestion under a nearby lid, not distribution. On the slower frames, the picture is improving. The 12h has turned up with RSI back over 50 and CMF positive, the daily sits above DEMA70 (~177), and the weekly continues to rebuild beneath the 70/140 ribbon; reclaiming 181–186 on weekly closes would unlock a broader advance.

Yesterday our plan was to respect 176–178 as the intraday buy zone, look for a probe into 181–182, and only expect extension if volume accompanied a breakout. That largely played out: buyers defended the stack, price pressed resistance, and momentum then eased as supply reacted. We’ll call that a modest win—direction right, but extension capped where we expected it.

Our base case is a choppy grind higher while 176–178 (2h/4h DEMAs) and 173–174 (12h DEMA140) hold on closing bases. We prefer staged entries into 179–180, 177.5–178.2, and 176.0–176.7, keeping risk tight beneath 173–174. A decisive push and hold above 181.5–182.5 should invite 186–188 and, on extension, 195–200 if CMF stays positive. Lose 176–178 and we’ll look for responses into 173–175; only a daily close back below the 12h DEMA140 would materially dent our bullish thesis. Until then, buying weakness into the DEMA stack remains our favored approach while we wait for resistance to flip to support.

#Solana #SOL #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #MarketUpdate

📜 Disclaimer

The content in this publication is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. I am not a licensed financial advisor.

Any opinions, strategies, or analyses shared reflect my personal views and experiences. I may hold positions in the cryptocurrencies mentioned (e.g., BTC, ETH, SOL), which could influence my perspective.

Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and involve significant risk. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

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