AAVE, Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana maintain bullish structures while overbought signals hint at near-term consolidation
Today’s market action across AAVE, Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana shows consistent bullish structures, but with short-term momentum indicators signaling a need for cooling.
AAVE continues to test the $308–312 ceiling that has capped summer rallies. Price remains above a bullish DEMA stack and recent daily MACD bull cross, but 2H–4H momentum is contracting. Yesterday’s plan for dip-buys into $301–304 and $297–298 worked as shallow pullbacks held, though the ceiling remains intact. A break above $312 could target $318–320; failure to hold $295 risks $292–295.
Bitcoin surged into the 122k zone after a vertical rally well above short-term DEMAs. MACD is positive on all frames, but 2H–6H RSI readings in the 70s and maxed Stoch RSI point to a pause. Yesterday’s roadmap—buy dips into 119k–118.5k, watch for resistance at 122k–123k—played out. Sustained trade over 122.5k could see 123.8k–125k; losing 118.5k risks 116.8k.
Ethereum trades just under 4.30k after a controlled ascent. MACD remains positive from 6H to 1W, CMF is green, but short-frame oscillators are elevated and narrowing MACD histograms signal digestion. Yesterday’s strategy to buy dips near 4.25k and 4.10k is still valid; holding those keeps upside targets of 4.35k–4.42k alive.
Solana hovers in the mid-$180s, firmly above its DEMAs. Trend strength is improving on mid and higher frames, though short-term indicators are stretched. Yesterday’s buy zones at 179–181 and 176–177 held, but 186 remains a key ceiling. A sustained break there opens 189–194; loss of 176 points to 173–171.
Across all four, higher time frame trends remain constructive, but short-term overbought readings call for patience—buy dips into support, not breakouts into resistance, and keep risk tight beneath recent structural lows.
#CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketUpdate #Bitcoin #Ethereum #Altcoin
📜 Disclaimer:
Educational content only—non-financial advice. I am not a licensed advisor. Views are personal and may involve positions in mentioned assets. Crypto is volatile; do your own research and consult qualified professionals. Information may be inaccurate or change without notice. Not tailored to your jurisdiction or region; no guarantees whatsoever provided.
Read the full analysis below:
The content below was originally paywalled.
AAVE: Pressing the Lid, Cooling Momentum, Constructive Structure
Today AAVE is again testing the familiar $308–312 zone that has capped advances through the summer. Price sits above a firmly bullish DEMA stack on every active timeframe, with the 6H–1D breadth improving after a fresh daily MACD bull cross. Momentum, however, is no longer one-way: the 2H and 4H MACD histograms have begun to contract, RSI slipped from overbought, and the short-frame CMF reveals light distribution even as the higher frames keep modest inflows. In short, the structure is constructive, but the engine is slightly warm.
Yesterday we expected buyers to defend shallow retracements into $301–304, with a stronger demand cluster near $297–298. That roadmap held reasonably well. Dips were shallow, the fast averages were respected, and price rotated back toward resistance without delivering a deep liquidity sweep. The call for a constructive bias was right, though the market granted less pullback than ideal for patient entries, so execution rewarded early bids more than late chasers. We count that as a modest success rather than a triumph, because the ceiling remains unbroken and oscillators still argue for digestion.
Looking ahead, our base case for the next twenty-four hours is choppy trade between $302 and $314, with failed probes likely near $310–312 unless breadth expands. A decisive acceptance above that band would expose $318–320, where the weekly chart shows the next meaningful lid. Over forty-eight hours, the key variable is whether $297–295 continues to act as a springboard. Hold it, and probability favors a measured push into $314–320; lose it on closing bases, and AAVE probably revisits $292–295 to rebuild energy before another attempt higher. Directionally we still lean long while above $295, but we prefer entries on weakness into prior support rather than strength into resistance, with risk contained beneath $293 to avoid being trapped if momentum fades.
#AAVE #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoTrading #MarketUpdate #DeFi #RiskManagement
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT): Sprint, Pause, and Prove It
Today Bitcoin is pressing the 122k neighborhood after a vertical run that left price riding well above the 2H–12H DEMA stacks. Momentum is still constructive across frames: MACD remains positive from intraday to weekly, CMF shows persistent inflows, and the daily trend has curled higher again. At the same time, short-frame oscillators are overheated; RSI sits in the 70s on 2H–6H and Stoch RSI has been pinned high, which argues for a pause while moving averages catch up. Liquidity has been supportive on the way up, but we should expect whipsaws around 121k–122k as the market digests the burst.
Yesterday we anticipated a bullish structure with the risk of short-term excess, proposed buying weakness into 119k–118.5k, and mapped 122k–123k as the first ceiling with 123.8k–125k beyond. The market broadly followed that script: momentum expanded, resistance was tested, and the pullbacks were shallower than ideal for patient entries. The direction was right, but execution favored early bids rather than dip hunters; we will call that a modest success, not a grand victory, because acceptance above 122.5k has not been secured yet and the intraday indicators still need to cool.
From here we foresee a two-stage test. First, in the next twenty-four hours, rotation between 120k and 122.5k is likely as intraday momentum resets; buyers should attempt to defend 119k–118.5k where the 2H–6H DEMA cluster and recent breakout shelf converge. Second, over forty-eight hours, sustained acceptance above 122.5k would validate continuation toward 123.8k and then 125k, where weekly context still looks supportive. Failure to hold the 118.5k area on closing bases would shift the burden back to 118k and even 116.8k for a deeper recharge; below 116.5k the near-term thesis weakens materially. Directionally we remain constructive while price holds above 118k, but we prefer entries on weakness into prior support rather than chasing strength into overhead supply, keeping risk disciplined in case momentum cools faster than flows.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #RiskManagement
Ethereum: Strong Structure, Hot Oscillators, and the Case for Buying the Dip
Today Ethereum is grinding just under the 4.30k area after a brisk, orderly ascent that pulled price well above the 2H–12H DEMA stacks. The tape is constructive across time frames: MACD is positive and rising from 6H to 1W, RSI sits firmly in bullish territory on the daily chart, and capital flows remain supportive with CMF green on the higher frames. What stands out in today’s intraday action is not weakness, but heat—2H through 12H oscillators are elevated, MACD histograms have started to narrow on the shortest frames, and price is spending time near the top of a short-term range rather than blasting straight through it. That’s usually the market asking for a breather while the moving averages catch up. Yesterday we anticipated exactly this mix: a bullish structure with the risk of near-term overextension and a plan to buy weakness into the first DEMA cluster. The market largely followed that script: dips were shallow, buyers stayed active, and the advance continued, but we did not get a clean, deep pullback for textbook entries. Directionally the call was right; tactically it rewarded those who scaled into prior support rather than chasing strength at the highs, so we’ll label the outcome modestly successful rather than triumphant.
From here our base case is that Ethereum oscillates while protecting higher lows. The first battleground sits around 4.25k–4.21k, where recent intraday support and fast averages converge; a deeper but still healthy test lives near 4.10k–4.09k where the 4H ribbon thickens. Holding either zone keeps the trend pointed toward 4.32k–4.35k and, if breadth expands, 4.38k–4.42k next. Failure to hold 4.09k on closing bases would argue for a reset into the low-4,000s to rebuild energy before another push. In short, the directional bias remains higher while the structure stays above the mid-4,100s; our preference is to buy dips into support with risk defined beneath the prior shelf rather than chase breakouts directly into overhead supply.
#ETH #Ethereum #ETHUSDT #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction
Solana: constructive trend, overheated impulses, and patient buying levels
Today Solana is hovering just under the mid-$180s after a disciplined advance that lifted price above every active DEMA from the 2H through the daily chart. Structure looks healthier than it did a week ago: the 6H and 1D MACD remain positive, DMI shows +DI leading across the mid frames, and weekly breadth continues to mend after the spring drawdown. The character of today’s session, however, is more about temperature than direction. Short-frame MACD histograms are no longer expanding, RSI has slipped from local peaks, and the 12H Stoch RSI is saturated. That cocktail usually signals digestion while averages catch up, not a breakdown, but it argues against chasing strength into nearby overhead supply around 186.
Yesterday our plan emphasized a constructive bias with disciplined execution: buy weakness into 179–181 first and 176–177 if offered, with a breakout add only on sustained acceptance above 186. The market largely followed that roadmap. Pullbacks were shallow, tape stayed sticky beneath the first ceiling, and buyers defended dips without producing a runaway squeeze. Directionally the call was correct, though the reward favored early scaling over late entries; we’ll label it a modest success, not a victory lap, because acceptance above 186 remains unproven.
From here we expect rotation to persist unless breadth expands decisively. Over the next twenty-four hours, our base case is a contained range between 178 and 186 with fast wicks as momentum resets. If buyers push through and hold above 186, the path opens toward 189–194, where prior supply clusters and measured targets converge. Over forty-eight hours, continuation requires that 178–177 remains a springboard; lose 176 on closing bases and price likely revisits 173–171 to rebuild energy before another attempt. The broader weekly context supports higher lows while CMF trends positive, yet daily execution still rewards buying dips into support rather than rips into resistance. We keep risk defined beneath the prior shelf to avoid being trapped if flows cool faster than momentum.
#SOL #Solana #SOLUSDT #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction
📜 Disclaimer
The content in this publication is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. I am not a licensed financial advisor.
Any opinions, strategies, or analyses shared reflect my personal views and experiences. I may hold positions in the cryptocurrencies mentioned (e.g., BTC, ETH, SOL), which could influence my perspective.
Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and involve significant risk. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
No guarantees are made regarding the accuracy, completeness, or profitability of any information provided. All opinions are subject to change as new information becomes available.
This content is intended for a general audience and may not comply with regulatory standards in your specific country or region. Invest responsibly.
