The market’s not dead. It’s just catching its breath. Watch the cracks, not the headlines.
AAVE looks like it’s breathing again. After all the pressure, you can feel it — that tension just before the stretch. One-hour and two-hour are still technically in the red, but SRSI is pushing up from the dirt, MACD is curling like it wants to try something, and DMI might be turning. CMF? Still lifeless. But this is how reversals begin — slow, twitchy, not explosive. As long as 305 holds, I’m leaning bounce. Anything above 318 and we’re cooking. Anything under it? Still in the chamber. We’re not out the woods, but we’re not drowning either.
BTC — don’t let her fool you. That move up? Fulgazi. MACD crossed 0 but lost power instantly. RSI looks like it got stage fright, and CMF just isn’t showing up to work. Same song as yesterday, just played slower. Until we break 120.2K with real momentum, it’s just noise in a tight box. This wants to fall back to 117. Maybe even 115.5. That’s where the reload is. Everything else? Shadow boxing.
Ethereum’s bleeding, slow and steady. DEMAs on the short frames are snapped. MACD is fading into silence, RSI dipped under 50, SRSI’s been oversold for hours now. CMF? Dead flat. 4H holds some strength, but it’s tired. Below 3480, this thing rolls into 3310. That’s where we look again. Macro still bullish, but it needs to burn off the steam. Let it.
And Solana? Man, SOL just ran too hard. Everything is vertical — MACD, RSI, price. Too vertical. One-hour already stalling, two-hour too. CMF still says there’s fuel, but the engine’s overheating. 186? That’s the crack line. Break it and we’re sliding into 175–178 — and that’s the bounce zone. That’s where we long. The weekly chart? Still loading the real breakout. You want 220? Then let her cool first.
#CryptoExpress #AAVEBounce #BTCNoise #ETHFade #SOLHeat #FloscaceiZone #TrendExhaustion #MacroSetup #RSIRoll #CryptoFlow
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AAVE: Bottoming or Just Breathing? A Trader’s Perspective
The recent correction in AAVE may have reached its climax — at least for now. After days of downside pressure, I’m starting to see early signs of recovery forming from the intraday to the 1D chart.
Let’s break this down: On the 1H and 2H, the DEMA structure is still tilted bearish, but the SRSI is oversold and climbing, and the MACD shows signs of curving up. CMF remains flat, but DMI has shifted negative with ADX rising, a classic tension signal before a bounce.
On the 4H and 6H, we’ve clearly broken below the key DEMA layers, but RSI is bottomed, MACD is deeply negative and slowing, and the SRSI is attempting a turnaround. I’m watching for confirmation here as the floor zone (309–305) holds firm.
Zooming out, the 12H and 1D charts show a controlled correction within a larger bullish structure. MACD is curling down but hasn’t collapsed. The weekly remains untouched — full uptrend, rising CMF, and overbought SRSI that’s just beginning to cool off.
So what’s next? Floscacei levels are in focus:
Floor: 309–305
Scalping Zone: 317–319.5
Ceiling: 324–328
As long as we stay above 305, I favor a rebound toward the scalping zone. If momentum builds, 324 is on deck. This isn’t a rocket yet — it’s a reload.
Compare this to three days ago, when exhaustion was still building. Now, we’re sitting on top of it. The next move? Likely upward — but cautiously. Entry near 307–309 looks good for a bounce play.
#AAVE #CryptoForecast #AltcoinAnalysis #DEMAstrategy #MarketOutlook #Floscacei
BTC: Same Move, Different Shape — Don’t Be Fooled
Yesterday we saw a controlled bounce from local floor zones. But that bounce? It was fragile — and today it’s clearer than ever: this was not trend continuation, but a delayed correction playing out in a different shape.
On the 1H, we saw price push upward, but the DEMAs haven’t turned. MACD crossed 0, but it’s already curving. RSI and SRSI showed strength, but with CMF flat and ADX falling, there was no engine behind the move. This was a flash, not a breakout.
Compare this to yesterday: MACD was building, RSI was recovering. Today, momentum is stalling. Structure hasn’t changed — only the shape of the noise.
2H shows even more clarity: RSI is stuck near 50, SRSI overbought but unsupported, CMF ticked green but unsustained. ADX? Weak. This matches yesterday’s warning — unless 120K breaks with conviction, we’re in a stall.
On the 4H, nothing’s changed from yesterday: ADX still dropping, MACD still weak, DMI directionless. The price is simply catching its breath. We said this yesterday — and today proves it.
6H still holds its bullish structure but remains disconnected. The price is floating ahead of the slowest DEMA — nothing has caught up. Same story as yesterday.
12H and 1W remain intact. Weekly MACD rising, CMF healthy, RSI over 60. The macro holds — but local weakness is in full control.
🔧 Forecast
24H: Expect rejection at 119.8–120.2K. Retrace toward 117.3 likely.
48H: If 117 fails, 115.5–116K becomes the reload zone.
📍Floscacei Zones
Ceiling: 120.2K
Scalp Zone: 118.7–119.3K
Floor: 116.2–115.5K
Entry? Only below 117K. Anything before that is just noise, again.
#BTCUSDT #CryptoUpdate #Floscacei #MacroVsMicro #BTCLevels #FulgaziBounce
ETH: The Correction Isn’t Over — Structure Is Holding, But Cracks Are Showing
Yesterday we saw Ethereum pulling back from overbought highs. Today confirms what we expected — the correction has deepened, and the bullish momentum is losing fuel across every frame.
On the 1H, the DEMAs are fully broken. MACD dipped hard, RSI below 50, and SRSI has collapsed. DMI turned bearish, and CMF is now flat. This isn’t a bounce — it’s a controlled drop.
2H shows the same: fast DEMAs have flipped, MACD declining, RSI under 50, and SRSI still under 20. CMF dipped from strong inflow into flat neutrality. We’re tracking toward 3500–3480, which was our marked floor. If that breaks, we’re heading for 3330 next.
4H and 6H? Trend is still technically intact — but price has fallen below the fast DEMAs and SRSI keeps faking a reversal that never comes. MACD is fading and CMF is barely holding positive. The bounce setups are weak, and that’s your warning.
On the 12H, structure remains bullish but you can see the exhaustion. RSI dipping slightly, SRSI dislocated (K ahead of D), and MACD curve losing steam. Still macro bullish — but the legs are tired.
The 1D and 1W remain powerful. MACD and RSI show the trend still lives — but the market needs a correction to reset. We said it yesterday, and today confirms it: ETH leads faster, falls sharper. The calm before continuation.
🧱 Floscacei Zones:
Ceiling: 3760–3820
Scalping Zone: 3650–3680
Floor: 3480–3500
Subfloor: 3310–3150
Next entry? Not now. Wait for 3480–3500 reaction. That zone decides the next leg.
#Ethereum #ETHUSDT #Floscacei #CryptoCorrection #TrendAnalysis #MarketUpdate
SOLUSDT – The Calm Before the Next Push?
We’re in the final stretch of this run. Solana’s structure is still screaming bullish across the higher timeframes, but the cracks are showing intraday. The one-hour chart is already in consolidation. RSI has dipped below 40, MACD is flattening, CMF turned neutral, and DMI lines are basically sitting on top of each other. ADX is dropping — there’s no momentum left here. The pump paused. Pullback to 186 is in play, maybe more.
Zooming into the 2H, DEMA slope still runs steep and clean — no break yet. But MACD is also plateauing here. RSI stays over 70 but losing strength. Stoch RSI in the 20s, CMF positive but dipping — all pointing to exhaustion setting in. Below 186, we may fall to 175. That’s the safety net.
The 4H remains very bullish — too bullish. The price has outrun its DEMA by a mile. RSI and MACD are vertical. CMF still strong, but SRSI has curled. So yes, we might push to 208–210, but don’t expect a sustainable rally from here. If 188 fails to hold, a bigger unwind is in play.
6H agrees. Structure still holds, but momentum indicators are maxed. Expect slowdown around 205+. Anything above that becomes air. Same message from the 12H — powerful uptrend, but unsustainable speed. RSI, MACD, CMF all blazing — but the price has broken too far from the averages. A correction is not a matter of “if,” but “when.”
The weekly, however, is the real prize. Structure just flipped bullish. We just broke above the slowest DEMA. MACD has yet to cross — and once it does, the next leg begins. RSI, DMI, CMF — all rising. Solana is loading for 220 and beyond — after this reset.
In short: Short-term caution, but long-term we’re not done yet. Wait for the correction. Long again below 186, ride the weekly kaboom.
#SOLUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #Solana #Altseason #DEMAtrading #MarketUpdate
📜 Disclaimer
The content in this publication is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. I am not a licensed financial advisor.
Any opinions, strategies, or analyses shared reflect my personal views and experiences. I may hold positions in the cryptocurrencies mentioned (e.g., BTC, ETH, SOL), which could influence my perspective.
Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and involve significant risk. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
No guarantees are made regarding the accuracy, completeness, or profitability of any information provided. All opinions are subject to change as new information becomes available.
This content is intended for a general audience and may not comply with regulatory standards in your specific country or region. Invest responsibly.
