Short-Term Weakness Emerges Across Majors — Trend or Pause?
Across the board, altcoins and BTC are facing pivotal moments. What began as clean, sustained bullish trends is now shifting toward short-term fragility.
AAVE led the rotation surge as BTC stabilized, but momentum is now fading. While 1D and 12H charts still show a bullish setup, the 1H–6H structure is deteriorating. Price has slipped under faster DEMAs, MACD is stalling, RSI is no longer expanding, and CMF has flattened. Supports at 326 and 322 are key — if lost, 318–315 could be next before potential re-entry.
Bitcoin has moved from fragile uptrend to critical support test near 118,000. The 1H–6H timeframes show weakening momentum: rolling DEMAs, MACD cross, RSI under MA, and fading inflows on CMF. If 118k holds, upside to 120,300 and 122k remains viable. A break opens 116,500 and deeper. 12H–1W structures remain intact, but less convincing. BTC is in decision mode — the next move will set the tone for the week.
Ethereum achieved its $3600+ target but now signals a correction. 1H–4H charts show MACD breakdowns, RSI and SRSI declines, and CMF losing strength. A drop toward $3500, then $3400 or $3300 is probable unless momentum recovers. Higher timeframes stay bullish, but short-term exhaustion is setting in.
Solana mirrors this trend: breakdowns on the 1H–4H charts while macro charts stay supportive. If 172 breaks, 170 and possibly 165 come into play. CMF remains positive, but RSI and SRSI show weakness. A bounce is possible, but not guaranteed.
Overall, the altcoin rotation cycle is cooling. The broader trend remains intact — but only if these key supports hold.
#CryptoUpdate #BTCForecast #AltcoinRotation #TechnicalAnalysis #AAVEWatch #EthereumOutlook
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AAVE in Focus: From Strength to Slowdown – A Healthy Reset or Breakdown?
AAVE showed strong bullish continuation across all timeframes up to 1D over the past few days. DEMAs were cleanly aligned, MACD was firmly bullish, RSI was expanding above its moving average, and CMF confirmed active capital inflow. Momentum was clear, structure was tight, and buyers had firm control.
The short-term picture has changed. On the 1H, 2H, and 4H charts, the DEMA structure is weakening — price has slipped below the faster averages, MACD is fading, and RSI is now beneath its MA. Stochastic RSI is trending toward oversold across all sub-6H timeframes. The 6H chart reflects a stalled move: MACD is flat, RSI neutral, and CMF turning negative. DMI across all short timeframes is confused, and ADX has dropped — showing indecision and lack of strength. Meanwhile, the 12H and 1D charts still favor the bullish structure, but early topping is evident: Stoch RSI is peaking, CMF is flattening, and RSI is no longer expanding.
A corrective pullback is unfolding. Key levels to watch: support at 326, then 322. A break below 318 may open the path to 315. If those supports hold, continuation could resume from higher lows. Momentum must return soon, or this pullback could deepen into a broader retracement.
This behavior aligns with a classic altcoin rotation phase. As BTC stabilizes, capital has moved toward assets like AAVE and ETH. That cycle appears to be cooling now, possibly setting up for a refreshed entry post-pullback.
The market isn’t reversing — it’s reloading.
#AAVEUpdate #AltcoinWatch #CryptoTechnicalAnalysis #AAVEForecast #MarketCorrection #CryptoRotation
BTC Outlook Update – From Fragile Uptrend to Fork in the Road
Yesterday, BTC maintained a fragile uptrend. While the faster DEMAs were beginning to flatten and momentum indicators like MACD and RSI showed early signs of exhaustion, the overall structure remained technically intact. The trend was softening, but not yet broken.
Today, that has changed. The 1H to 6H timeframes have lost bullish control. The fast and medium-speed DEMAs are rolling over, MACD has flipped negative, RSI is consistently below its moving average, and CMF inflows have weakened. The 12H and 1D charts still show structural bullish alignment, but their signals have faded noticeably. The weekly chart remains bullish, but also shows overbought conditions and softening momentum.
BTC is now sitting at a critical structural support zone near 118,000. This level is acting as a pivot. If it holds, price could rebound toward 120,300, and potentially advance toward 122,000–124,000. If it breaks decisively, the door opens to a drop toward 116,500, then 114,000, and possibly deeper over the next 24–48 hours.
In parallel, we’ve observed capital rotating into altcoins, especially ETH and other majors. This behavior is typical of late-cycle BTC rallies, where liquidity shifts into high-beta assets as BTC stalls. It reinforces the need to track altcoin strength during BTC corrections.
Compared to yesterday’s cautious optimism, today confirms that BTC has entered a clear decision phase. Trend strength has weakened across key midframes, and the next move depends on how price reacts at 118k. Traders should remain focused on structure and wait for confirmation rather than anticipation.
#BTCAnalysis #CryptoOutlook #BitcoinTrading #ChaseOrder #TrendReversal #CryptoStrategy
ETH Weakens on Lower Timeframes as Broader Uptrend Faces Key Test
Ethereum’s recent rally has hit a fragile ceiling as early signs of trend exhaustion emerge across lower timeframes. On the 1H and 2H charts, the DEMA structure remains in uptrend alignment, but price action is now decisively breaching the faster DMAs. The MACD shows a strong bearish cross with a widening gap to the signal line, while both RSI and Stoch RSI are falling rapidly — signaling momentum loss. CMF remains flat but positive, offering little support. A move toward $3500 appears imminent. If this fails to hold, $3400 and $3300 are next in line, with $3200–3100 the deeper levels of interest.
On the 4H chart, we observe a weakening of the uptrend’s structure. Although DEMA spacing is still bullish, the trend lacks expansion strength. MACD is curving down, and RSI is beginning to roll over. ADX is softening, and Stoch RSI is pointing downward, adding weight to the correction thesis.
Looking back, ETH showed strength throughout the week, aligning with our previous analysis which identified $3600+ potential. That target was achieved, but the rapid vertical climb now shows signs of fatigue. The market appears to be rotating capital into altcoins — as seen with AAVE — while ETH undergoes a healthy correction.
Looking ahead, the medium and higher timeframes (12H, 1D, 1W) remain bullish. However, the correction brewing on the intraday scale could deepen before the next leg up. If $3300 holds, we may see a renewed attempt toward $3600–3800. If lost, the broader structure could face further pullback before continuation.
#EthereumUpdate #ETHUSDT #CryptoForecast #AltcoinRotation #TechnicalAnalysis #TrendWatch
SOLUSDT Nearing the Cliff: Short-Term Fragility, Macro Holds
After a powerful rally, Solana (SOLUSDT) is now showing early signs of exhaustion across lower timeframes, while the macro trend remains intact. The 1H and 2H charts clearly reflect bearish momentum building: price has broken below the red and orange DEMAs, MACD is dipping sharply with widening histogram bars, RSI is falling below its average, and SRSI is deep in oversold territory. These combined signals suggest the uptrend is pausing, with key supports in focus.
The 174–172 zone is now acting as the first test for bulls. If this support cracks, the 170 DEMA on the 2H and 4H becomes the next magnet. A deeper flush to 165 is possible if volume increases and momentum accelerates. On the 6H chart, the structure is still technically bullish but weakening — RSI has started to curl, and SRSI shows a bearish crossover. However, CMF remains positive, suggesting capital has not fully rotated out yet.
Moving to the 12H and 1D charts, the uptrend is still forming. MACD continues to climb, but RSI is overbought and SRSI is losing strength, hinting at a cooling phase. The 1W chart supports a longer-term bullish case, with DEMA widening, RSI moving up from mid-range, and DMI flipping green. That said, ADX remains low, signaling a trend still in the early stages of strength.
Conclusion: Expect short-term weakness and possible retrace to 170 or lower in the next 24h. A bounce is possible from 170–172 if SRSI resets. Macro trend remains bullish unless 165 fails with volume.
#Solana #SOLUSDT #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #Altcoins #TrendReversal
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The content in this publication is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. I am not a licensed financial advisor.
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