🚦 Crypto Market Deep Technicals — June 2025 – Crypto Analysis

BTC, Ethereum, Solana: Levels, Reversals & FloScaCei

BTC, Ethereum, Solana: Levels, Reversals & FloScaCei

BTC, Ethereum, Solana: Levels, Reversals & FloScaCei

The market’s been playing games—false breaks, whipsaw ranges, and dead-cat bounces dressed up as reversals. If you’re not zoomed into multi-timeframe confluence, you’re getting chopped. That’s why I use what I call FloScaCeiFloor, Scalping zone, and Ceiling—to frame every chart.

Let’s break down BTC, ETH, and SOL with clear levels, real signal interpretation, and no fluff.


Absolutely! Here’s your Substack-style paragraph for AAVE, with your technical nuance and FloScaCei (Floor, Scalping, Ceiling) levels integrated and ready to post:


1 .AAVE Technical Outlook – June 2025

AAVE is walking a tightrope between floor and free-fall. On the 1H, price keeps finding footing around 245 but can’t stay above 253 for more than a quick scalp. All bounces are being sold into, and every time price approaches 255.5, sellers take control—no real ceiling breakout until we see RSI above 50 and a clean MACD cross.

On the 4H, the floor is just a bit lower at 242; lose that and the drop could accelerate fast, targeting the weekly base near 238 or even the longer-term 228 support. Inside the 248–258 range, it’s strictly a mean-reversion game—DMI is uncertain, and trends flip back and forth. To talk “reversal,” we need to see price convincingly break and hold above 262 (and honestly, even then, it’s only a short-term reversal).

My FloScaCei map:

  • Floor: 245 (1H), 242 (4H), 238 (12H), 228 (1D), 210 (1W)

  • Scalping: 248–253 (1H), 248–258 (4H), 250–262 (12H), 254–266 (1D), 248–284 (1W)

  • Ceiling: 255.5 (1H), 262 (4H), 275 (12H), 284 (1D), 320 (1W)

AAVE

Bottom line:

“Until AAVE reclaims 262+ on the 4H or shows a real breakout on the daily, every rally is a short-term trade, not a trend. Use the FloScaCei structure—floor for scalps, ceiling for fades, and don’t get trapped in the middle.”


2. Bitcoin (BTCUSDT)

My Technical View

  • 1H/2H: We saw a strong bounce with RSI above 50 and MACD flipping green. The ADX is dropping, but D+ is catching up—early reversal territory.

  • 6H/12H: Still showing resistance to follow-through. RSI stuck under 50, MACD negative, and DMI weak.

  • 1D/1W: The weekly structure holds, but barely. If 1D MACD and RSI MA drop, we’re testing 100K.

FloScaCei

  • Floor: 100,000 USDT – Breakdown trigger, high-risk flush zone.

  • Scalping: 103,000–105,500 – Volatile range, choppy trades.

  • Ceiling: 108,000+ – Only consider a swing long if this breaks with volume.

BTC

Verdict

“BTC is bouncing, yes, but not confirmed. We’re in scalping mode until the 6H and 12H RSI clears 50 and MACD turns up. Keep one foot on the brake.”


3. Ethereum (ETHUSDT)

My Technical View

  • 1H: Bounce confirmed by MACD crossover and RSI lift, but still under its MA.

  • 6H–12H: The bounce lacks fuel. CMF negative, MACD down, RSI flat under 50. This is stalled motion, not reversal.

  • 1D: If RSI MA loses 50 and MACD crosses under, we revisit 2100. Only the lower TFs show life—for now.

FloScaCei

  • Floor: 2,100–2,200 USDT – Long scalp zone, but risky if volume dies.

  • Scalping: 2,300–2,450 – Intraday action only. Trade reaction, not trend.

  • Ceiling: 2,700 – This is where a trend reversal would actually begin.

ETH

Verdict

“If we stay under 2,450 with this structure, ETH will drift lower. Don’t buy the bounce unless you see RSI > 55 and CMF turning green on the 4H or 6H.”


4. Solana (SOLUSDT)

My Technical View

  • 1H/2H: Minor bounce. SRSI is stretched, RSI under 50, CMF negative. MACD is trying, but not there yet.

  • 4H–6H: Price still trapped in a bear structure. DEMA and RSI say we’re stuck. MACD below signal, histogram negative. ADX supports bear control.

  • 12H–1D: Momentum dying. MACD under zero, SRSI can’t get above 50, CMF falling. Clear continuation unless 153–154 breaks.

FloScaCei

  • Floor: 140–146 – Last stop before 132–130 opens up.

  • Scalping: 148–154 – Careful range. Don’t trust bounces here without confirmation.

  • Ceiling: 162 – Bull case only starts above this. Otherwise, just noise.

SOL

Verdict

“If SOL doesn’t break 153–154 and hold above for a full 6H cycle, we’re likely heading back to 140 or lower. Treat every bounce as a scalp.”


🛠️ My Edge – How I Trade It

I don’t guess tops or bottoms—I flow between floors, scalps, and ceilings, based on:

  • SRSI: Tells me if momentum is exhausted or building.

  • DMI/ADX: Trend strength and bias.

  • MACD: Lagging but decisive—especially crossovers and histo flips.

  • RSI + MA: If RSI rides its MA above 50, I lean long. If under 50, I scalp short.

Everything else is noise unless it aligns across timeframes.


📌 Summary: Structure Before Strategy

Token Floor Scalping Zone Ceiling Bias BTC 100K 103K–105.5K 108K+ Neutral > Bullish ETH 2,100–2,200 2,300–2,450 2,700 Bearish > Neutral SOL 140–146 148–154 162+ Bearish


🎯 Final Words

Every chart is saying: “We might bounce. But don’t assume we reverse.”
Until we see consistent RSI > 50, MACD flips, and CMF back above 0—you’re scalping, not swinging.

Stick to FloScaCei. Trade what you see. And keep the bias flexible.

— 📊 FloScaCei Levels (Floor – Scalping – Ceiling) – BTC, ETH, SOL, AAVE

📊 FloScaCei Levels (Floor – Scalping – Ceiling) – BTC, ETH, SOL, AAVE
📊 FloScaCei Levels (Floor – Scalping – Ceiling) – BTC, ETH, SOL, AAVE

📜 Disclaimer

The content in this publication is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. I am not a licensed financial advisor.

Any opinions, strategies, or analyses shared reflect my personal views and experiences. I may hold positions in the cryptocurrencies mentioned (e.g., BTC, ETH, SOL), which could influence my perspective.

Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and involve significant risk. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

No guarantees are made regarding the accuracy, completeness, or profitability of any information provided. All opinions are subject to change as new information becomes available.

This content is intended for a general audience and may not comply with regulatory standards in your specific country or region. Invest responsibly.

web@ependiytis.international
web@ependiytis.international
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