Ethereum is a decentralized, open-source blockchain platform that enables the creation and execution of smart contracts and decentralized applications (dApps). Its native cryptocurrency, Ether (ETH), is used to pay for transaction fees, known as “gas”
This divergence between short-term bearishness and medium-to-long-term bullishness created the textbook conditions for a bear trap, where aggressive sellers push price down only to face a swift reversal as stronger hands accumulate at discount levels. Our analysis yesterday correctly anticipated sideways consolidation as price would catch up to faster moving averages before resuming its uptrend, and today's action validates that thesis perfectly.
Stochastic RSI on shorter timeframes is solidly overbought, indicating current demand remains robust, while higher timeframes trend neutral, which could buffer against immediate exhaustion. DMI across all intervals is bullish, with ADX strengthening, and positive money flow (CMF) confirming risk appetite. The only moderate caution is a leveling off in SRSI and CMF on daily and weekly windows, which suggests consolidation or short-term pauses could surface, but are not yet significant reversals.
Comparing to yesterday, today's session confirms expectations: as forecast, clearing resistance zones near 4,500 has triggered additional buying interest, and the market structure remains well-supported. Predictions of strong uptrend persistence have materialized, with no technical evidence of lasting exhaustion. Looking ahead, the floor for ETH sits above 4,100 across all timeframes, while 4,500–4,600 acts as new support if broken. Should this bullish confluence hold, targets in the 4,800 to 5,000 region are within reach over the coming days. If price stalls at current resistance, the risk scenario would be a controlled pullback or brief consolidation. Overall, the call is long, as both trend and momentum clearly guide the market higher.
Zooming out, the weekly chart offers a beacon of hope for long-term holders, as its macro-bullish structure remains intact. This suggests the current market turmoil is a corrective phase within a larger, healthy uptrend. The ultimate question now is whether this is the moment the macro trend reasserts its dominance, or if the market requires one final capitulation before a durable bottom is finally forged and the next major leg up can begin.
Based on historical price behavior, a strong bounce from the $3,900 support region remains a distinct possibility. The immediate strategy is to remain cautious, respecting the current downtrend by trailing stop-losses on any short positions, while staying vigilant for a confirmed, volume-supported bounce from this critical support zone that could signal the end of the current correction.
Our forecast for a measured move towards the $4,000 region remains in firm play, with a clear warning against overreacting to temporary buy-side moves. This approach not only protected capital but also offered opportunities for profit on bearish trades, emphasizing the continued utility of trend-following and confirmation over anticipation.
