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Zooming out, the weekly chart offers a beacon of hope for long-term holders, as its macro-bullish structure remains intact. This suggests the current market turmoil is a corrective phase within a larger, healthy uptrend. The ultimate question now is whether this is the moment the macro trend reasserts its dominance, or if the market requires one final capitulation before a durable bottom is finally forged and the next major leg up can begin.
Based on historical price behavior, a strong bounce from the $3,900 support region remains a distinct possibility. The immediate strategy is to remain cautious, respecting the current downtrend by trailing stop-losses on any short positions, while staying vigilant for a confirmed, volume-supported bounce from this critical support zone that could signal the end of the current correction.
Our forecast for a measured move towards the $4,000 region remains in firm play, with a clear warning against overreacting to temporary buy-side moves. This approach not only protected capital but also offered opportunities for profit on bearish trades, emphasizing the continued utility of trend-following and confirmation over anticipation.
