Based on the analysis, the key zone to watch for this bounce to materialize is between $210 and $214. A successful defense of this level could propel the price toward the next significant resistance at $220, a break of which would lend strong confirmation to the corrective bounce theory. Given Solana’s history of high-velocity moves, any such turn could be rapid.
Based on historical price behavior, a strong bounce from the $3,900 support region remains a distinct possibility. The immediate strategy is to remain cautious, respecting the current downtrend by trailing stop-losses on any short positions, while staying vigilant for a confirmed, volume-supported bounce from this critical support zone that could signal the end of the current correction.
Looking forward, the forecast remains overwhelmingly bearish. The weekly chart, a bellwether for long-term trends, is showing a significant bearish MACD crossover for the first time in months, suggesting this is not a minor dip but a potential major trend reversal. Our analysis indicates that the price is likely to test the $105,000 support zone within the next 24 to 48 hours. Should this level fail to hold, a steeper decline toward the $100,000 mark is highly probable.
The key battlegrounds are well-defined. Immediate resistance lies in the formidable 277 USDT to 280 USDT zone. A decisive rejection from this level would validate the bearish thesis and likely send the price back to test the critical support floor between 265 USDT and 267 USDT. A failure to hold this floor would almost certainly open the path to a deeper decline, with 254 USDT being the next logical target.
The primary target for this corrective wave lies significantly lower, at the confluence of major weekly support around the $195–$200 level. This price zone represents a critical test for the long-term bullish thesis
Our forecast for a measured move towards the $4,000 region remains in firm play, with a clear warning against overreacting to temporary buy-side moves. This approach not only protected capital but also offered opportunities for profit on bearish trades, emphasizing the continued utility of trend-following and confirmation over anticipation.
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