De gelaagde anatomie van CO₂-uitstoot.

De gelaagde anatomie van CO₂-uitstoot.

Inleiding

Praat met iemand over klimaatverandering, en je hoort iets als “Het gaat over uitstoot — maar waar komt die vandaan?” Dit essay trekt het gordijn open met een gelaagde uitleg per sector, voor lezers die niet alleen het “wat” willen begrijpen, maar ook het “waarom” achter de wereldwijde CO₂-voetafdruk. ^[1]

Waarom uitstoot opsplitsen?

We hebben het vaak over “opwarming van de aarde” of “netto nul in 2050” zonder te zien dat verschillende sectoren van de samenleving — energie, transport, voedsel, productie en zelfs het leger — op subtiele en verrassende manieren met elkaar verweven zijn. Het ontleden van deze onderdelen helpt ons de grootste hefbomen te vinden, betere beleidsvorming te beïnvloeden en zelfs dagelijkse keuzes in onze huizen te vormen. ^{[2] [3]}

Elektriciteits- en warmteproductie: De reus van wereldwijde emissies 

Elektriciteits- en warmteopwekking zijn goed voor ongeveer 33% van de wereldwijde CO₂-uitstoot, waarmee ze de sector zijn die het belangrijkst is voor klimaatmaatregelen. De CO₂-impact van deze sector hangt sterk af van de brandstofkeuze. In netten die zwaar op steenkool leunen, kan elk kilowattuur meer dan een kilogram CO₂ veroorzaken, terwijl hernieuwbare energie en kernenergie een bijna nul directe voetafdruk hebben.  ^[4]  [5]

Transport: Het verplaatsen van bergen (met emissies)

Transport — auto’s, vrachtwagens, vliegtuigen, schepen, treinen — is verantwoordelijk voor bijna 16% van de wereldwijde uitstoot. Het merendeel komt van wegvoertuigen: 74% van de CO₂-uitstoot in de wereldwijde transportsector is wegverkeer, met personenauto’s (waaronder steeds grotere SUV’s) en vrachtwagens die de grootste bijdrage leveren. ^[8]

Luchtvaart en scheepvaart hebben een grote impact per ton-mijl of per passagier — internationaal reizen, vooral per vliegtuig, is per reis enorm CO₂-intensief. ^[9]

  Productie & Bouw: De Materiële Wereld 

Zware industrie en bouw zijn verantwoordelijk voor ongeveer 13% van de wereldwijde CO₂-uitstoot, maar hun impact gaat nog dieper wanneer je procesemissies meerekent (chemie, niet alleen fossiele brandstofgebruik) en de “belichaamde” koolstof in onze gebouwen en infrastructuur.  ^[10]

Laten we dat uitsplitsen:

1. Chemische en petrochemische productie: Verantwoordelijk voor 25% van de sectoruitstoot (denk aan kunststoffen, meststoffen, oplosmiddelen)
2. Staal: 24%, voornamelijk afkomstig van hoogovens (steenkool als energiebron en chemisch middel)
3. Aardolie raffinage: 20%
4. Cement & kalk: 14%, waarvan een groot deel onvermijdelijk is (verkalking van kalksteen)

Zie de grafiek hieronder voor duidelijkheid over de belangrijkste industriële subsectoren.

Manufacturing emissions by industry showing chemicals, steel, and petroleum refining as the top three emitters accounting for 69% of total manufacturing CO2

Switching how we produce steel and cement, as well as which materials we specify in construction, is essential for systemic change, as shown by the following chart on steel production pathways:

Steel production method comparison showing electric arc furnace with scrap emits 75% less CO2 than traditional blast furnaces, yet accounts for only 25% of global production

Similarly, when you take a building apart, its “embodied carbon” (from all the concrete, steel, and aluminum that went into it) can be almost as significant as its lifetime energy use:

Embodied carbon comparison showing aluminum has the highest carbon intensity at 11.5 kg CO2 per kg, while timber acts as a carbon sink at only 0.1 kg CO2 per kg

Agriculture: Burps, Fertilizer, & Food 

Agriculture’s role is often misunderstood. It’s responsible for about 12% of global emissions, but much of that is not from fossil fuels. Instead, the main culprits:

1. Livestock digestive methane (“enteric fermentation”): 40% of agriculture’s CO₂e
2. Nitrogen fertilizer application (N₂O emissions): 30%
3. Manure management: 14%
4. Flooded rice paddies: 10% (methane from anaerobic decay)

Livestock emissions are dominated by beef cattle, as this illustrative chart demonstrates:

Livestock emissions by animal showing cattle (beef, dairy, and other) dominate at 70% of all livestock greenhouse gas emissions

The pie chart below visualizes agriculture’s main sources:

Agricultural emissions by source showing enteric fermentation from livestock as the largest contributor at 40%, followed by fertilizers at 30% and manure management at 14%

Industrial Process & Building Emissions: Two Sides, One Coin 

Emissions from industrial processes — like concrete, aluminum, or refrigerant production — are fundamentally different from those from burning fossil fuels. Sometimes, the chemical transformation itself spits out CO₂ or even more potent greenhouse gases (like HFCs and SF₆).  ^[11]  [12]

Buildings (residential & commercial) play a double role. They account for both direct emissions (from gas heating, cooking, and hot water) and indirect (via electricity generation). The next graph spells out the main sources in buildings:

Direct building emissions showing natural gas heating dominates both residential (55%) and commercial (50%) sectors, with water heating as the second-largest source

Building emissions breakdown showing operational carbon (heating, cooling, lighting) accounts for 72% and embodied carbon (materials, construction) 28%, but embodied carbon’s share is growing

Household CO₂ Emissions: What’s Happening at Home? 

It’s easy to overlook, but the household is itself a microcosm of society’s energy use and emissions. A typical U.S. home emits 7–10 metric tonnes of CO₂ per year (varies globally), with the following breakdown:

• Space heating: 41%
• Water heating: 19%
• Refrigeration: 8%
• Air conditioning: 6%
• Lighting: 5%
• Cooking, laundry, “plug loads” (electronics, computers, TV, etc.): remaining ~21%

Let’s illustrate this with a household chart:

Household CO2 emissions by end use showing space heating leads, followed by water heating and refrigeration. Figures are for typical U.S. homes.

Unlike sector-level graphs, household emissions are shaped by both the house and the habits within it. In colder climates, or leaky homes, space heating will be the biggest slice of the pie. Smaller apartments in milder climates will naturally skew the numbers toward appliances and plug loads. Water heating and refrigeration are steady year-round contributors, while lighting has steadily declined thanks to LEDs.  ^{[14]  [15]  [16]}

International comparisons reveal even wider swings: In Scandinavia, electric heating is common, while in much of the developing world, cooking fuel dominates household footprints. Technology, efficiency, climate, and behavior all matter.  ^[15]  [16]

 Fugitive Emissions (Oil & Gas Infrastructure): The Leaks 

Roughly 6% of global greenhouse emissions come from “fugitive” losses and releases across the oil and gas value chain. Methane is the main culprit, vented intentionally or lost to leaks in pipelines, processing facilities, and abandoned wells. To see this visually, check the next two graphs:

Fugitive emissions breakdown showing venting (intentional release) accounts for 64% of oil and gas methane emissions, with fugitive leaks at 25% and flaring at 11%

Oil and gas methane emissions by segment showing upstream production accounts for 40% of emissions, while midstream infrastructure (gathering, processing, transmission) contributes 45%

Waste: The Methane Machine 

Waste — especially from landfills and wastewater — is often overlooked, yet globally accounts for about 3% of direct emissions. When organic matter (like food or yard waste) decomposes anaerobically, it produces methane: a GHG 84 times more powerful than CO₂ on short time scales.  ^[19]

The graph below shows just how dominant landfills are to total waste emissions, and why composting, proper gas capture, and digestion are effective climate strategies:

Waste sector emissions showing landfills dominate at 72% (1,224 Mt CO2e), making them the third-largest source of US methane emissions

Waste management comparison showing anaerobic digestion has negative emissions (-50 kg CO2e/tonne), while landfills without gas capture emit 550 kg CO2e/tonne – an 11x difference

Land Use Change & Forestry: Sinks at Risk 

Forests and land, as a sector, walk a tightrope between emitting and absorbing CO₂. Deforestation (especially in the tropics) is responsible for 10–12% of global emissions, but healthy forests absorb vast quantities of carbon — up to 30% of fossil fuel emissions annually.  ^[20]  [21]

Here’s what the current global “forest carbon balance” looks like: in a good year, forests are a net sink, but that benefit is shrinking rapidly as wildfires and clearances accelerate. The Amazon alone produces more than a third of all deforestation emissions, usually linked to beef and soy production.  ^[22]  [23]

Regional deforestation emissions showing the Amazon rainforest accounts for 35% of global deforestation emissions at 2,345 million tonnes per year, primarily driven by cattle ranching and soy farming

Military Fuel Usage: The Hidden Giant 

Despite rarely being counted in national climate targets, the collective military is responsible for between 1 and 5.5% of global emissions. The U.S. Department of Defense consumes more fossil fuel than many whole nations and is the world’s largest single institutional emitter. Jet fuel for aircraft is the largest slice, as seen below:

US military emissions showing jet fuel for aircraft accounts for 55% (132 million tonnes) of total military emissions, followed by naval vessels at 20%

Military emissions are not just large, they are elusive: international protocols often exempt or ignore them, yet trends show that military emissions are rising globally as defense spending increases.  ^{[24]  [25]  [26]}

 Conclusion 

Pulling apart the puzzle of CO₂ emissions reveals just how vital sector-level, sub-sector, and even household-level choices are. While decarbonizing electricity and electrifying everything are massive levers, there’s genuine progress and power in tackling invisible methane, ending deforestation, improving waste handling, and demystifying military emissions.

1. IEA, “CO₂ Emissions by Sector and Country.” https://www.iea.org/
2. Our World in Data, “Greenhouse Gas Emissions by Sector.” https://ourworldindata.org/emissions-by-sector
3. U.S. EIA, “Carbon Dioxide Emissions – Overview.” https://www.eia.gov/environment/emissions/
4. IPCC, Assessment Reports. https://www.ipcc.ch/
5. EPA, U.S. Greenhouse Gas Inventory. https://www.epa.gov/ghgemissions/
6. U.S. EIA, “Use of Energy in Homes.” https://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/use-of-energy/homes.php
7. U.S. EIA, “Electricity Use in Homes.” https://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/use-of-energy/electricity-use-in-homes.php
8. Our World in Data, “Transport Emissions.” https://ourworldindata.org/transport-emissions
9. IEA, Mobility Emissions Data. https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics
10. WRI, “Manufacturing CO₂ Emissions.” https://www.wri.org/
11. EPA, “Industry Process Emissions.” https://www.epa.gov/ghgemissions/industry-sector-emissions
12. Nature, “Fluorinated Gas Emissions.” https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-024-52434-y
13. European Commission, “About F-Gases.” https://climate.ec.europa.eu/
14. Center for Sustainable Systems, University of Michigan. https://css.umich.edu/
15. EIA, “Residential Energy Consumption Survey.” https://www.eia.gov/consumption/residential/
16. Goldstein, B. et al., “The carbon footprint of household energy use in the United States,” PNAS. https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.1922205117
17. EDF, “Methane Emissions from U.S. Oil & Gas.” https://www.edf.org/
18. World Bank, “Global Gas Flaring Tracker Report.” https://www.worldbank.org/
19. RMI, “Managing Methane in the Waste Sector.” https://rmi.org/our-work/
20. Global Forest Watch. https://www.globalforestwatch.org/
21. UN Climate Reports. https://www.un.org/en/climatechange/science/climate-issues/land
22. World Resources Institute. https://www.wri.org/insights/
23. Woodwell Climate. https://www.woodwellclimate.org/global-forest-carbon-storage-explained/
24. SGR, “Military Carbon Emissions.” https://www.sgr.org.uk/resources/how-big-are-global-military-carbon-emissions
25. CEOBS, “Estimating Military Emissions.” https://ceobs.org/
26. PLOS Climate, “Military Spending and Emissions.” https://journals.plos.org/climate/